Tupolev · turboprop
Tupolev Tu-154M accident history and safety score
Tupolev Tu-154M appears in 32 current candidate incident rows extracted from Track Plane Crash source snapshots. This generated profile is source-discovery first and awaits deeper authority enrichment.
Diagnostic Safety & Security Metrics
Occupant Survivability Rate
Percentage of cabin occupants surviving indexed crash incidents.
30%
Class average: 60%
Weather Resilience
Tolerance to crosswinds, turbulence, and structural icing thresholds.
4.9/10
Class average: 5.8/10
Mechanical Integrity
Structural robustness, system MTBF, and power plant reliability indicators.
7.2/10
Class average: 8/10
Operational Control Demand
Pilot experience and workload sensitivity (higher indicates more demanding flight handling).
7.5/10
Class average: 7.2/10
Flight System Redundancy
Multi-engine safety margins, backup avionics, and flight envelope protection.
5/10
Class average: 4/10
Safety Signature Radar
Actuarial Insurance Underwriting Calculator
Adjust flight parameters dynamically to calculate the custom hull liability safety index for a **Tupolev Tu-154M** (turboprop class).
Calculated Policy Score
43
High liability exposure. Special hull exclusions apply. Out-of-policy exception approval required.
• Day Visual Flight Rules operations maximize survivability margins.
How We Calculate
These diagnostic indicators are compiled by Track Plane Crash analysts using historical incident data, manufacturer specifications, NTSB/FAA investigation materials, and fleet class coefficients.
They serve as qualitative safety benchmarks for aircraft classes and families, and do not represent insurance actuarial loss ratings for individual tail numbers.
Risk themes
GEO rule: aircraft pages must separate model involvement from accident cause. A crash involving a model is not automatically a model defect.
Source links
Past accident rows
Incidents currently linked to Tupolev Tu-154M
Pilatus PC-6 Crash in Nancy
BAAA lists a Pilatus PC-6 crash at Nancy-Essey on June 28, 2026 with 11 fatalities. This seed page is intentionally marked recent and requires official-source enrichment before causal analysis.
11
Fatalities
0
Survivors
2
Sources
Beechcraft BE55 Crash Near Lancaster, South Carolina
The FAA states that a Beechcraft BE55 crashed near Lancaster, South Carolina around 12:45 a.m. local time on July 2, 2026. Two people were on board; casualty and cause details remain pending in this row.
0
Fatalities
0
Survivors
1
Sources
Two-Seat Cessna Crash Near High Ongar, Essex
Two people died after a two-seat Cessna aircraft crashed in a field near High Ongar, Essex on July 1, 2026 during a flight experience that had departed North Weald airfield, according to public reporting.
2
Fatalities
0
Survivors
1
Sources
Pacific Aerospace 750XL Skydiving Crash Near Butler, Missouri
A Pacific Aerospace 750XL skydiving aircraft operated by Skydive Kansas City crashed shortly after takeoff near Butler, Missouri on June 14, 2026, killing all 12 people on board. AP reports preliminary NTSB findings found no evidence of engine failure or mechanical malfunction.
12
Fatalities
0
Survivors
1
Sources
Rockwell Gulfstream 690C Crash Near Fort Simpson
BAAA lists a Rockwell Gulfstream 690C Jetprop 840 crash near Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories on June 24, 2026 with three fatalities. This row is a recent discovery entry pending official investigation enrichment.
3
Fatalities
0
Survivors
1
Sources
Candidate rows
Daily source candidates involving Tupolev Tu-154M
2016-12-25
Tupolev TU-154 RA-85572 BAAA archive accident at Sochi-Adler, Krasnodar Krai
Sochi-Adler, Krasnodar Krai · Pending verification
92
Fatalities
2011-01-01
Tupolev TU-154 RA-85588 BAAA archive accident at Surgut, Khantia-Mansia okrug
Surgut, Khantia-Mansia okrug · Pending verification
3
Fatalities
2010-12-04
Tupolev Tu-154M RA-85744 occurrence at Moskva-Domodedovo Airport (DME)
Moskva-Domodedovo Airport (DME) · Dagestan Airlines
2
Fatalities
2010-12-04
Tupolev TU-154 RA-85744 BAAA archive accident at Moscow-Domodedovo, Moscow oblast
Moscow-Domodedovo, Moscow oblast · Pending verification
2
Fatalities
2010-04-10
Tupolev Tu-154M 101 occurrence at ca 1 km E of Smolensk Air Base
ca 1 km E of Smolensk Air Base · Polish Air Force
96
Fatalities
2010-04-10
Tupolev TU-154 101 BAAA archive accident at Smolensk, Smolensk oblast
Smolensk, Smolensk oblast · Pending verification
96
Fatalities
2010-01-24
Tupolev Tu-154M RA-85787 occurrence at Mashhad Airport (MHD)
Mashhad Airport (MHD) · Taban Air, lsf Kolavia
0
Fatalities
2010-01-24
Tupolev TU-154 RA-85787 BAAA archive accident at Mashhad, Razavi Khorasan
Mashhad, Razavi Khorasan · Pending verification
0
Fatalities
2009-07-15
Tupolev Tu-154M EP-CPG occurrence at 12 km S of Qazvin
12 km S of Qazvin · Caspian Airlines
168
Fatalities
2009-07-15
Tupolev TU-154 EP-CPG BAAA archive accident at Qazvin, Qazvin
Qazvin, Qazvin · Pending verification
168
Fatalities
2009-05-08
Tupolev Tu-154M EP-MCR occurrence at near Mashhad Airport (MHD)
near Mashhad Airport (MHD) · Iran Airtour
0
Fatalities
2008-06-30
Tupolev Tu-154M RA-85667 occurrence at Saint Petersburg-Pulkovo Airport (LED)
Saint Petersburg-Pulkovo Airport (LED) · Aeroflot Russian Airlines
0
Fatalities
2008-06-30
Tupolev TU-154 RA-85667 BAAA archive accident at Saint Petersburg-Pulkovo, Leningrad oblast
Saint Petersburg-Pulkovo, Leningrad oblast · Pending verification
0
Fatalities
2006-09-26
Tupolev Tu-154M EX-85718 occurrence at Bishkek Airport (FRU)
Bishkek Airport (FRU) · Altyn Air
0
Fatalities
2006-09-01
Tupolev Tu-154M EP-MCF occurrence at Mashhad Airport (MHD)
Mashhad Airport (MHD) · Iran Airtour
28
Fatalities
2006-09-01
Tupolev TU-154 EP-MCF BAAA archive accident at Mashhad, Razavi Khorasan
Mashhad, Razavi Khorasan · Pending verification
28
Fatalities
2006-08-22
Tupolev Tu-154M RA-85185 occurrence at 45 km NW of Donetsk
45 km NW of Donetsk · Pulkovo Aviation Enterprise
170
Fatalities
2006-08-22
Tupolev TU-154 RA-85185 BAAA archive accident at Novgorodskoye, Donetsk Oblast
Novgorodskoye, Donetsk Oblast · Pending verification
170
Fatalities
2004-08-24
Tupolev TU-154 RA-85556 BAAA archive accident at Gluboki, Rostov oblast
Gluboki, Rostov oblast · Pending verification
46
Fatalities
2003-08-02
Tupolev Tu-154M RA-85847 occurrence at Faro Airport (FAO)
Faro Airport (FAO) · Avialinii 400
0
Fatalities
2002-07-01
Tupolev Tu-154M RA-85816 occurrence at Überlingen
Überlingen · Bashkirskie Avialinii
69+2
Fatalities
2002-07-01
Tupolev TU-154 RA-85816 BAAA archive accident at Überlingen, Baden-Württemberg
Überlingen, Baden-Württemberg · Pending verification
69
Fatalities
2002-02-20
Tupolev Tu-154M EP-LBX occurrence at Mashhad Airport (MHD)
Mashhad Airport (MHD) · Kish Air
0
Fatalities
2002-02-12
Tupolev Tu-154M EP-MBS occurrence at near Sarab-e Do Rah
near Sarab-e Do Rah · Iran Airtour
119
Fatalities
2002-02-12
Tupolev TU-154 EP-MBS BAAA archive accident at Khorramabad, Lorestan
Khorramabad, Lorestan · Pending verification
119
Fatalities